Research

Published Papers

A flexible approach to model coupling through probabilistic pooling: Environmental Modelling and Software
Political competition and renewable energy transitions over long time horizons: A dynamic approach (with Marion Dumas and Johannes Urpelainen): Ecological Economics
American Climate Prospectus: Economic Risks in the United States (with Trevor Houser, Robert Kopp, Solomon Hsiang, Michael Delgado, Amir Jina, Kate Larsen, Michael Mastrandrea, Shashank Mohan, Robert Muir-Wood, DJ Rasmussen, and Paul Wilson): Book
Creating the commons: fisheries and the World Bank (in History of Economic Thought and Policy)

The impacts of climate change on coffee: trouble brewing (with Jeff Sachs): Report Site
Emotions and elections: Evidence from Hurricane Sandy (with Prabhat Barnwal): Working Paper
Glaciers and Flooding in Himalayan River Basins (with Upmanu Lall): Working Paper
Global Benefits of Marine Protected Areas (with Geoffrey Heal): NBER Working Paper.
Path Dependence, Political Competition, and Renewable Energy Policy: A Dynamic Model (with Johannes Urpelainen and Marion Dumas): Working Paper
Performance of agricultural process models using global data (with Mark Cane): Working Paper

Probabilistic projections of potential humanitarian response needs 2015-2035 (with Marc Levy): Report
Multiscale Management of the Distributed Fishery Commons: Working Paper, Presentation
Inferring spatio-temporal anchoveta stocks using catch series and plankton measurements (with Kimberly Lai): Working Paper
Entropy rates of spatially distributed state machines: Working Paper, Presentation
Optimal Slash-and-Burn Farming: Working Paper, Companion Paper
An Open Model for Climate Behaviors: EPA Proposal, Post
Self-Organized Criticality in Sustainable Development: Working Paper
Self-Organized Criticality in Marine Conservation Ecology: Working Paper
Knowledge as Access: An Inquiry into the Creaturely Life: Working Paper
Destabilization through crop failures: a mechanism for climate to drive conflict (with Mark Cane)
No heat is an island: population as a driver of the heat island effect (with Solomon Hsiang)
Planet on a plate: the drivers of food production and consumption decisions and their impacts
Green Power in Vietnam (with Semee Yoon, Anthony D’Agostino, and Ruinan Liu)
System regressions: inferring the structure of interconnected feedbacks: Presentation, Working Paper

A Tool for Crowd-Sourcing Empirical Meta-Analyses (with Solomon Hsiang and Bob Kopp): Poster
Crops, Climate, and Conflict (with Mark Cane): Poster
Call of the Complex: Prezi
Non-Renewable Spaceship: Presentation
Glaciers and Flooding in Himalayan River Basins: Poster, Presentation